Chelsea U21 vs Derby County U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chelsea U21 v Derby County U21 — Team-Based Signals
Chelsea U21 vs Derby County U21 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Chelsea U21 2-1 Derby County U21 — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea U21 nicked a narrow win over Derby County U21 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Chelsea U21 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Chelsea U21 had 61% of the ball to Derby County U21's 39%, shots finished 9-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for Chelsea U21 and 3.00 for Derby County U21.
What was the final score of Chelsea U21 vs Derby County U21?
Chelsea U21 2-1 Derby County U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chelsea U21 vs Derby County U21?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chelsea U21 44%, draw 23%, Derby County U21 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.