Derby County U21 2-6 Chelsea U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.87
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
3.94
Over 2.5
73%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.32
No
32%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
23%
+10.4pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.2pp
47%
Away Win
58%
-11.6pp
27%
Under 2.5
22%
+5.7pp
73%
Over 2.5
78%
-5.7pp
68%
BTTS Yes
72%
-3.5pp
32%
BTTS No
28%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derby County U21 EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 62%
+63% / +63% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
2.52/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+106% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -29%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.1 Crosses 19.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derby County U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chelsea U21
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 7
234 Passes 505
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.11.2024 Derby County U21 Derby County U21 4-3 HT 1-3 Chelsea U21 Chelsea U21 İNPLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derby County U21
2-6
AWAY Chelsea U21
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
363 Passes 257
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Derby County U21 vs Chelsea U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U21 swept aside Derby County U21 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea U21 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (68%) came in.

On the day, Derby County U21 had 56% of the ball to Chelsea U21's 44%, shots finished 14-14.

What was the final score of Derby County U21 vs Chelsea U21?

Derby County U21 2-6 Chelsea U21 in the INGPL2 on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derby County U21 vs Chelsea U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Derby County U21 33%, draw 20%, Chelsea U21 47%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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