Everton U21 2-4 Nottingham Forest U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.27
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
50%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.61
Over 2.5
69%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.39
No
29%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
40%
-10.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.4pp
50%
Away Win
37%
+13.4pp
31%
Under 2.5
35%
-3.4pp
69%
Over 2.5
65%
+3.4pp
71%
BTTS Yes
68%
+3.6pp
29%
BTTS No
32%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton U21 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
3.51/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+44% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.5 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.08 xG 1.53
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
502 Passes 270
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.02.2024 Everton U21 Everton U21 1-2 HT 1-2 Nottingham Forest U21 Nottingham Forest U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton U21
2-4
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 1
388 Passes 295
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Everton U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest U21 beat Everton U21 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nottingham Forest U21 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (71%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Everton U21 had 56% of the ball to Nottingham Forest U21's 44%, shots finished 13-14.

What was the final score of Everton U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Everton U21 2-4 Nottingham Forest U21 in the INGPL2 on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nottingham Forest U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Everton U21 30%, draw 20%, Nottingham Forest U21 50%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nottingham Forest U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nottingham Forest U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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