Stoke City U21 0-3 Southampton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
4.71
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
65%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.68
Over 2.5
59%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
18%
-2.4pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.4pp
65%
Away Win
64%
+0.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
24%
+17.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
76%
-17.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.2pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
280 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 482 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Southampton U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
2.53 xG 3.06
28% Ball Possession 72%
13 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 7
187 Passes 643
73% Pass Accuracy 91%
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2024 Southampton U21 Southampton U21 5-1 HT 4-1 Stoke City U21 Stoke City U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City U21
0-3
AWAY Southampton U21
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
212 Passes 387
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton U21 swept aside Stoke City U21 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Southampton U21 as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Stoke City U21 had 37% of the ball to Southampton U21's 63%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21?

Stoke City U21 0-3 Southampton U21 in the INGPL2 on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southampton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Stoke City U21 16%, draw 20%, Southampton U21 65%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southampton U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southampton U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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