Everton U21 1-2 Nottingham Forest U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.5pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.8pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+9.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-9.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.0pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton U21 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton U21
1-2
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21
1.08 xG 1.53
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
502 Passes 270
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Everton U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest U21 edged past Everton U21 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Nottingham Forest U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Everton U21 had 62% of the ball to Nottingham Forest U21's 38%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.08 to 1.53.

What was the final score of Everton U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Everton U21 1-2 Nottingham Forest U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Everton U21 40%, draw 32%, Nottingham Forest U21 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Everton U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Everton U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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