Derby County U21 1-3 Blackburn Rovers U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.14
Over 2.5
57%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.32
No
42%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.1pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
28%
+14.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
72%
-14.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
72%
-13.7pp
42%
BTTS No
28%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derby County U21 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derby County U21
1-3
AWAY Blackburn Rovers U21
1.13 xG 0.81
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
449 Passes 259
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Derby County U21 vs Blackburn Rovers U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers U21 beat Derby County U21 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Derby County U21 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Derby County U21 had 61% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers U21's 39%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.13 to 0.81.

What was the final score of Derby County U21 vs Blackburn Rovers U21?

Derby County U21 1-3 Blackburn Rovers U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derby County U21 vs Blackburn Rovers U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Derby County U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Derby County U21 44%, draw 21%, Blackburn Rovers U21 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Derby County U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Derby County U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPL2-1 More England - Premier League 2 (League 1)
19 Feb 2024
15:00 Leeds United U21 vs Chelsea U21 Analysis →
17:00 Stoke City U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 Analysis →
22:00 Wolverhampton U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21 Analysis →
22:00 Everton U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21 Analysis →
22:00 Manchester United U21 vs Manchester City U21 Analysis →
22:00 Leicester City U21 vs Crystal Palace U21 Analysis →