Manchester United U21 2-1 Manchester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.9
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.94
Over 2.5
68%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.28
No
38%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+3.3pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-3.9pp
32%
Under 2.5
22%
+10.5pp
68%
Over 2.5
78%
-10.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
74%
-12.1pp
38%
BTTS No
26%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 34%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.99/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/0.56
+150% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +115%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses 10.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United U21
2-1
AWAY Manchester City U21
0.35 xG 1.77
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
202 Passes 556
75% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manchester United U21 vs Manchester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United U21 squeezed past Manchester City U21 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester United U21 as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Manchester United U21 had 30% of the ball to Manchester City U21's 70%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 0.35 to 1.77 — the balance of chances actually favoured Manchester City U21.

What was the final score of Manchester United U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Manchester United U21 2-1 Manchester City U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Manchester United U21 52%, draw 21%, Manchester City U21 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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