Algeciras 1-4 Real Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.19
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.98
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
33%
+5.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.12/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.37
+6% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
258 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Real Madrid II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 1-1 HT 1-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
17.02.2024 Algeciras Algeciras 3-0 HT 1-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
19.11.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 1-2 HT 1-2 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
27.05.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
08.01.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-1 HT 0-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
21.05.2022 Algeciras Algeciras 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
1-4
AWAY Real Madrid II
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Real Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid II cruised past Algeciras 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Real Madrid II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Algeciras had 47% of the ball to Real Madrid II's 53%, shots finished 5-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Algeciras and 1.00 for Real Madrid II.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Real Madrid II?

Algeciras 1-4 Real Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Real Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algeciras win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 38%, draw 29%, Real Madrid II 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Algeciras) ✗ Under 2.5
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