Vis Pesaro 1-0 Campobasso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.22
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.88
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.22 — our 39% vs market 36.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.8pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Campobasso EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
1.53/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.30
+19% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vis Pesaro
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Campobasso
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 5
26.09.2024 Campobasso Campobasso 3-2 HT 3-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
1-0
AWAY Campobasso
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vis Pesaro vs Campobasso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro nicked a narrow win over Campobasso 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Vis Pesaro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 62% of the ball to Campobasso's 38%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs Campobasso?

Vis Pesaro 1-0 Campobasso in the Italy - Serie C on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs Campobasso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vis Pesaro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 40%, draw 31%, Campobasso 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vis Pesaro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vis Pesaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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