Western United (K) 4-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
62%
-8.9pp
29%
Draw
20%
+8.9pp
17%
Away Win
17%
+0.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.5pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.08/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/2.04
+44% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.3
20.9 Crosses 10.8
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western United (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
2.58 xG 2.29
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
290 Passes 225
72% Pass Accuracy 62%
28 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
14.12.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 5-1 HT 4-0 Western United (K) Western United (K) AVUSTW
23.03.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 3-1 HT 1-1 Western United (K) Western United (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western United (K)
4-1
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
2.84 xG 0.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
25 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
261 Passes 253
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
37 Box Touches 5
32 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Western United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United (K) ran out comfortable winners over W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Western United (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Western United (K) had 50% of the ball to W. Sydney Wanderers (K)'s 50%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 2.84 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Western United (K) and 4.00 for W. Sydney Wanderers (K).

What was the final score of Western United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Western United (K) 4-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) in the Australia - W-League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Western United (K) 54%, draw 29%, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western United (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Western United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
31 Jan 2025
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