Brisbane Roar 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒11:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.41
No
45%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.44
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
26%
2.56
6+ Goals
13%
5.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.81
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
22.1
1/X
7%
11.9
X/1
11%
6.62
X/2
13%
5.89
X/X
9%
5.82
2/1
6%
24.3
2/2
22%
3.18
2/X
9%
11.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.1 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
67%
-11.3pp
45%
BTTS No
33%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
1.55/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.77
-7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 84%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
17.6 Crosses 20.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.07 xG 1.26
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
363 Passes 419
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-2 HT 2-2 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
05.04.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
01.12.2023 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 2-2 HT 2-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
16.09.2023 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 4-2 HT 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUK
23.12.2022 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 1-1 HT 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
22.10.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar
0-1
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
0.79 xG 0.36
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
470 Passes 363
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar vs Western Sydney Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Brisbane Roar 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Western Sydney Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brisbane Roar had 55% of the ball to Western Sydney Wanderers's 45%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.79 to 0.36 — on chances, Brisbane Roar could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Brisbane Roar and 1.50 for Western Sydney Wanderers.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Brisbane Roar 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers in the Australia - A-League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar 33%, draw 25%, Western Sydney Wanderers 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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