RFC Liege 2-1 RFC Seraing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +16%
1.69/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.61
-7% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +46%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
20.5 Crosses 22.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Liege
3W-0D-0L
AWAY RFC Seraing
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.29 xG 1.54
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
225 Passes 350
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-3 HT 0-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
17.02.2024 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-4 HT 0-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
03.12.2023 RFC Liege RFC Liege 2-1 HT 1-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Liege
2-1
AWAY RFC Seraing
2.78 xG 1.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 5
281 Passes 224
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
36 Box Touches 19
33 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RFC Liege vs RFC Seraing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Liege nicked a narrow win over RFC Seraing 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had RFC Liege as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, RFC Liege had 53% of the ball to RFC Seraing's 47%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.78 to 1.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold RFC Liege's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, RFC Liege had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for RFC Liege and 0.33 for RFC Seraing.

What was the final score of RFC Liege vs RFC Seraing?

RFC Liege 2-1 RFC Seraing in the Belgium - 1st Division on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Liege vs RFC Seraing?

Before kick-off our model rated a RFC Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split RFC Liege 44%, draw 28%, RFC Seraing 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RFC Liege), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RFC Liege) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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