Paços De Ferreira 0-0 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.28
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -23%
1.40/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.39
-15% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses 19.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paços De Ferreira
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Leixoes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.29 xG 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 Passes 249
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2024 Leixoes Leixoes 3-3 HT 2-2 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
16.02.2024 Leixoes Leixoes 1-1 HT 0-1 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
15.09.2023 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-2 HT 0-2 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
20.09.2017 Leixoes Leixoes 1-0 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira PORLC
11.04.2010 Leixoes Leixoes 2-0 HT 1-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR
29.11.2009 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-1 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paços De Ferreira
0-0
AWAY Leixoes
1.80 xG 0.38
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
215 Passes 231
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paços De Ferreira vs Leixoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paços De Ferreira and Leixoes played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Paços De Ferreira at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 49% of the ball to Leixoes's 51%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.80 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leixoes led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paços De Ferreira and 1.67 for Leixoes.

What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs Leixoes?

Paços De Ferreira 0-0 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs Leixoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paços De Ferreira win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 41%, draw 29%, Leixoes 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paços De Ferreira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paços De Ferreira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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