Boavista 0-2 Famalicao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.99
6+ Goals
10%
18.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.63
1/2
5%
27.5
1/X
5%
13.85
X/1
10%
7.24
X/2
9%
4.72
X/X
11%
4.15
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.89
2/X
11%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boavista EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.15/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.37
-6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -46%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.8 Crosses 13.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boavista
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Famalicao
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.84 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
322 Passes 319
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Famalicao Famalicao 1-0 HT 1-0 Boavista Boavista POR
04.03.2024 Famalicao Famalicao 1-1 HT 1-0 Boavista Boavista POR
30.09.2023 Boavista Boavista 2-2 HT 1-1 Famalicao Famalicao POR
19.03.2023 Boavista Boavista 1-2 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
02.10.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 4-0 HT 2-0 Boavista Boavista POR
02.04.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 1-2 HT 0-2 Boavista Boavista POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boavista
0-2
AWAY Famalicao
0.08 xG 1.72
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
282 Passes 374
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boavista vs Famalicao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao saw off Boavista 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Famalicao as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Boavista had 45% of the ball to Famalicao's 55%, shots finished 4-20, expected goals 0.08 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Famalicao led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boavista and 1.83 for Famalicao.

What was the final score of Boavista vs Famalicao?

Boavista 0-2 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boavista vs Famalicao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Boavista 30%, draw 27%, Famalicao 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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