Famalicao 1-0 Boavista — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
19.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 31% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.06
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.6
X/1
13%
3.62
X/2
7%
10.9
X/X
15%
4.69
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
11%
9.43
2/X
6%
17.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.0pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Boavista EU Bookmakers 21%
-22% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.50/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.61
-21% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
25.4 Crosses 15.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Boavista
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 0.95
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 Passes 342
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.03.2024 Famalicao Famalicao 1-1 HT 1-0 Boavista Boavista POR
30.09.2023 Boavista Boavista 2-2 HT 1-1 Famalicao Famalicao POR
19.03.2023 Boavista Boavista 1-2 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
02.10.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 4-0 HT 2-0 Boavista Boavista POR
02.04.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 1-2 HT 0-2 Boavista Boavista POR
06.11.2021 Boavista Boavista 2-5 HT 1-3 Famalicao Famalicao POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao
1-0
AWAY Boavista
0.73 xG 0.30
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
372 Passes 233
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 7
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Famalicao vs Boavista
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao edged past Boavista 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Famalicao as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Famalicao had 59% of the ball to Boavista's 41%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.73 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Famalicao had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Famalicao and 1.33 for Boavista.

What was the final score of Famalicao vs Boavista?

Famalicao 1-0 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Boavista?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 47%, draw 29%, Boavista 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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