Porto 2-0 Rio Ave — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

Porto
2-0 HT 2-0
Rio Ave
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Porto vs Rio Ave Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.29
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.47
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
24.85
X/1
19%
3.33
X/2
4%
21.4
X/X
6%
7.78
2/1
9%
24.0
2/2
6%
17.55
2/X
5%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
73%
-3.8pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.0pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Porto v Rio Ave — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
2.44/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.15
+6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
38.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
22.0 Crosses 11.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Porto vs Rio Ave Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Rio Ave
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.01 xG 0.65
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
436 Passes 190
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
45 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Porto Porto 0-0 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
28.08.2023 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-2 HT 0-0 Porto Porto POR
18.02.2023 Porto Porto 1-0 HT 1-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
28.08.2022 Rio Ave Rio Ave 3-1 HT 3-0 Porto Porto POR
16.12.2021 Porto Porto 1-0 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave PORLC
15.05.2021 Rio Ave Rio Ave 0-3 HT 0-0 Porto Porto POR

Porto 2-0 Rio Ave — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto
2-0
AWAY Rio Ave
3.50 xG 0.00
72% Ball Possession 28%
23 Total Shots 0
12 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 3
540 Passes 163
89% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 4
20 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Porto vs Rio Ave
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto saw off Rio Ave 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Porto had 72% of the ball to Rio Ave's 28%, shots finished 23-0, expected goals 3.50 to 0.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Porto and 0.67 for Rio Ave.

What was the final score of Porto vs Rio Ave?

Porto 2-0 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto vs Rio Ave?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Porto 69%, draw 16%, Rio Ave 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Porto) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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