Benfica vs Estrela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica v Estrela — Team-Based Signals
Benfica vs Estrela Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Estrela
POR
2-3
HT 1-2
Benfica
PORLC
0-4
HT 0-1
Benfica
POK
Benfica 1-0 Estrela — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica squeezed past Estrela 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.
On the day, Benfica had 58% of the ball to Estrela's 42%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.35 to 0.16.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Benfica and 0.75 for Estrela.
What was the final score of Benfica vs Estrela?
Benfica 1-0 Estrela in the Portugal - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica vs Estrela?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Benfica 71%, draw 18%, Estrela 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.