Alloa Athletic 2-2 Cove Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 30% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.48/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.92
-7% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +75%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses 3.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cove Rangers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
1 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
1 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
20.09.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-1 HT 2-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
19.04.2025 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-1 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
01.03.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
21.12.2024 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
05.10.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-2 HT 0-2 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic and Cove Rangers couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Alloa Athletic at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alloa Athletic and 1.17 for Cove Rangers.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers?

Alloa Athletic 2-2 Cove Rangers in the Scotland - 1st Division on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 43%, draw 26%, Cove Rangers 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5
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