Alloa Athletic 2-1 Cove Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.56
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
3.07
6+ Goals
9%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 28% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
31%
-7.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
1.37/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.81
+2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Cove Rangers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
1 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
1 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
05.10.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-2 HT 0-2 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
20.04.2024 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-3 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
17.02.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 4-1 HT 1-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
16.12.2023 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-2 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
02.09.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic edged past Cove Rangers 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cove Rangers at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alloa Athletic and 1.33 for Cove Rangers.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers?

Alloa Athletic 2-1 Cove Rangers in the Scotland - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cove Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 24%, draw 28%, Cove Rangers 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cove Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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