Queen Of The South 0-1 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.56
6+ Goals
8%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
2.24/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.81
+26% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 6.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
5 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
21.12.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
05.10.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-5 HT 0-3 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
06.04.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-2 HT 0-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
10.02.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
18.11.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-3 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
30.09.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 3-1 HT 1-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kelty Hearts edged past Queen Of The South 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Queen Of The South at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kelty Hearts led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Queen Of The South and 2.50 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Kelty Hearts?

Queen Of The South 0-1 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queen Of The South win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 48%, draw 29%, Kelty Hearts 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Queen Of The South) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queen Of The South) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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