Dumbarton 1-3 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
1.49/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.18
+12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
239 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 12
3 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
07.12.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 4-0 HT 2-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
05.10.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-3 HT 1-2 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
30.03.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
03.02.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
09.12.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
26.08.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-4 HT 0-4 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir got the better of Dumbarton 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stenhousemuir as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenhousemuir led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dumbarton and 1.83 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Stenhousemuir?

Dumbarton 1-3 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 30%, draw 27%, Stenhousemuir 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenhousemuir), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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