Stenhousemuir 4-0 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.32
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.42
6+ Goals
12%
13.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.42 — our 26% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
1.71/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.71
+9% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 3.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dumbarton
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
12 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-3 HT 1-2 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
30.03.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
03.02.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
09.12.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
26.08.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-4 HT 0-4 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
01.04.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-2 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir ran out comfortable winners over Dumbarton 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stenhousemuir as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenhousemuir had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stenhousemuir and 1.00 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Dumbarton?

Stenhousemuir 4-0 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 41%, draw 27%, Dumbarton 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenhousemuir), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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