Kelty Hearts 0-2 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2024

Kelty Hearts
0-2 HT 0-1
Alloa Athletic
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.32
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 32% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kelty Hearts v Alloa Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.27/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.33
-20% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
147 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 138 · 90%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
8.0 Crosses 11.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
6 Crosses 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
19.03.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
09.03.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 3-0 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
21.10.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 3-1 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
19.08.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-1 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
15.04.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic saw off Kelty Hearts 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Alloa Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kelty Hearts and 1.67 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic?

Kelty Hearts 0-2 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kelty Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 40%, draw 25%, Alloa Athletic 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kelty Hearts) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kelty Hearts) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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