Arbroath 2-1 Queen Of The South — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 34% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.8pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arbroath EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
1.08/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.17
-32% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Queen Of The South
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
14.09.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 2-1 HT 1-1 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
14.10.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-2 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCK
16.04.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 5-1 HT 2-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
19.02.2022 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-0 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
13.11.2021 Arbroath Arbroath 1-1 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
18.09.2021 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-2 HT 0-1 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
POST-MATCH Arbroath vs Queen Of The South
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath squeezed past Queen Of The South 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arbroath as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arbroath had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Arbroath and 0.83 for Queen Of The South.

What was the final score of Arbroath vs Queen Of The South?

Arbroath 2-1 Queen Of The South in the Scotland - 1st Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Queen Of The South?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 41%, draw 25%, Queen Of The South 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arbroath) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arbroath) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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