Dumbarton 1-2 Edinburgh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.31
2-3 Goals
45%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.81
6+ Goals
12%
7.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.7pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +23%
1.46/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.17
-17% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
304 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Edinburgh City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
06.12.2025 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 4-3 HT 3-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
30.08.2025 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-2 HT 0-2 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
07.05.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-1 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
03.05.2022 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 4-1 HT 2-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
20.05.2021 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
17.05.2021 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 1-3 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Edinburgh City nicked a narrow win over Dumbarton 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dumbarton at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Edinburgh City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dumbarton and 2.17 for Edinburgh City.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City?

Dumbarton 1-2 Edinburgh City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 50%, draw 20%, Edinburgh City 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dumbarton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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