Barnsley 3-1 Stevenage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 31 Jan 2026

Barnsley
3 - 1 HT 2 - 1
Stevenage
📅31/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Barnsley vs Stevenage Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.71
Over
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.71
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.98
6+
5%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.61
1/2
2%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
15%
5.29
X/2
12%
5.92
X/X
18%
4.32
2/1
3%
30.0
2/2
17%
4.31
2/X
5%
13.9
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Barnsley v Stevenage — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Barnsley The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Stevenage The Market 37%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.72 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.91
1.55 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.16
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Bad Defense Strength Great
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 62%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3

Barnsley vs Stevenage Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnsley
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Stevenage
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.46 xG 1.58
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
288 Passes 174
71% Pass Accuracy 61%
16 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.01.2025 Barnsley Barnsley 0-1 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
14.09.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 3-0 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
09.04.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 2-1 HT 1-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
23.12.2023 Barnsley Barnsley 2-1 HT 1-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN1

Barnsley 3-1 Stevenage — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnsley
3 - 1
AWAY Stevenage
1.50 xG 1.29
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
240 Passes 283
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 23
6 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Barnsley vs Stevenage
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Barnsley put daylight between themselves and Stevenage 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Barnsley made the difference.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 52%.

On the day, Stevenage saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.50 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Stevenage led the recent series with 3 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.75 a game for Barnsley against 1.75 for Stevenage.

Barnsley vs Stevenage Result & Final Score

Barnsley 3 - 1 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Barnsley vs Stevenage Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnsley win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Barnsley 40%, draw 29%, Stevenage 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnsley), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnsley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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