Maroons vs Mbarara City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maroons v Mbarara City — Team-Based Signals
Maroons vs Mbarara City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Mbarara City
UGA
Maroons 1-1 Mbarara City — Actual Match Statistics
Maroons and Mbarara City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
This one beat our numbers. Maroons carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Maroons had 59% of the ball to Mbarara City's 41%, shots finished 11-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maroons had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Maroons and 0.00 for Mbarara City.
What was the final score of Maroons vs Mbarara City?
Maroons 1-1 Mbarara City in the Uganda - Premier League on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maroons vs Mbarara City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maroons win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Maroons 64%, draw 25%, Mbarara City 11%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maroons), BTTS No went the other way.