SC Villa 0-0 Lugazi Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.7pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Villa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 15%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.90/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.13/1.54
+4% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -81% / +29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SC Villa
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
06.12.2024 SC Villa SC Villa 1-1 HT 1-0 Lugazi Municipal UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SC Villa
0-0
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SC Villa vs Lugazi Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa and Lugazi Municipal played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. SC Villa carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, SC Villa had 68% of the ball to Lugazi Municipal's 32%, shots finished 21-4.

What was the final score of SC Villa vs Lugazi Municipal?

SC Villa 0-0 Lugazi Municipal in the Uganda - Premier League on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Villa vs Lugazi Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 60%, draw 26%, Lugazi Municipal 14%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (SC Villa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SC Villa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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