IFK Berga 1-2 Balkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.7pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.7pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Berga EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Balkan EU Bookmakers 24%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +2%
1.70/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.69
-20% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Berga
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Balkan
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
9 Corners 3
19.08.2023 Balkan Balkan 1-4 HT 0-1 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
23.04.2023 IFK Berga IFK Berga 1-3 HT 0-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
15.10.2022 Balkan Balkan 0-1 HT 0-0 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
09.10.2021 Balkan Balkan 2-5 HT 0-2 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
05.06.2021 IFK Berga IFK Berga 2-0 HT 0-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Berga vs Balkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balkan edged past IFK Berga 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Berga at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, IFK Berga had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for IFK Berga and 1.20 for Balkan.

What was the final score of IFK Berga vs Balkan?

IFK Berga 1-2 Balkan in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Berga vs Balkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Berga win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split IFK Berga 53%, draw 20%, Balkan 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IFK Berga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Berga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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