Verl 4-4 Sandhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 31 Mar 2024

Verl
4-4 HT 1-2
Sandhausen
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Verl vs Sandhausen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.92
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.9
X/1
13%
4.83
X/2
12%
6.77
X/X
11%
4.9
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
10%
4.68
2/X
7%
13.15
Value flag · 1/X at 12.9 — our 11% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Verl v Sandhausen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Verl EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.59/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.40
+1% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7

Verl vs Sandhausen Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Verl
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sandhausen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Sandhausen Sandhausen 2-2 HT 1-1 Verl Verl AL3

Verl 4-4 Sandhausen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Verl
4-4
AWAY Sandhausen
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Verl vs Sandhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl and Sandhausen shared the points in a 4-4 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Verl at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Verl had 61% of the ball to Sandhausen's 39%, shots finished 12-16.

What was the final score of Verl vs Sandhausen?

Verl 4-4 Sandhausen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Verl vs Sandhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Verl 42%, draw 29%, Sandhausen 29%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Verl), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Verl) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
31 Mar 2024
14:30 Viktoria Köln vs Lübeck Analysis →
20:30 Arminia Bielefeld vs MSV Duisburg Analysis →