Viktoria Köln 1-0 Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.08
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.07
6+ Goals
9%
9.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 26% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.92
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
13%
4.95
X/2
13%
6.71
X/X
13%
5.15
2/1
5%
23.6
2/2
17%
4.48
2/X
5%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.8pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lübeck EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.56/2.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/2.35
+1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 71%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
10.6 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Köln
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lübeck
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
06.03.2021 Lübeck Lübeck 1-2 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
30.10.2020 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-2 HT 0-2 Lübeck Lübeck AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Köln
1-0
AWAY Lübeck
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Viktoria Köln vs Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Köln nicked a narrow win over Lübeck 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Viktoria Köln as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Viktoria Köln had 62% of the ball to Lübeck's 38%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Viktoria Köln and 1.50 for Lübeck.

What was the final score of Viktoria Köln vs Lübeck?

Viktoria Köln 1-0 Lübeck in the Germany - 3rd Division on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Köln vs Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Köln 42%, draw 23%, Lübeck 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Köln), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Köln) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
31 Mar 2024
17:30 Verl vs Sandhausen Analysis →
20:30 Arminia Bielefeld vs MSV Duisburg Analysis →