Celta Vigo 1-1 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 31 Mar 2025

Celta Vigo
1-1 HT 1-0
Las Palmas
📅31/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.02
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
19%
4.07
X/2
7%
11.1
X/X
11%
5.32
2/1
8%
23.75
2/2
8%
9.33
2/X
6%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Celta Vigo win — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celta Vigo v Las Palmas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.61/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.88
-7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
17.7 Crosses 13.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9

Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Las Palmas
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.98 xG 1.34
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
281 Passes 494
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-1 HT 0-1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
20.04.2024 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 4-1 HT 2-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
02.10.2023 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
05.03.2018 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-1 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
16.10.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-5 HT 0-2 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
03.04.2017 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3-1 HT 2-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1

Celta Vigo 1-1 Las Palmas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo
1-1
AWAY Las Palmas
0.98 xG 0.32
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
559 Passes 325
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
34 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo and Las Palmas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Celta Vigo at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Celta Vigo had 61% of the ball to Las Palmas's 39%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 0.98 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.17 for Las Palmas.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas?

Celta Vigo 1-1 Las Palmas in the Spain - Primera Liga on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 57%, draw 23%, Las Palmas 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo) ✗ BTTS No
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