Lazio 1-1 Torino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 31 Mar 2025

Lazio
1-1 HT 0-0
Torino
📅31/03/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.26
6+ Goals
10%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.38
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.85
X/1
14%
4.16
X/2
13%
9.15
X/X
10%
4.4
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
11%
7.9
2/X
6%
16.55
Value flag · 1/X at 14.85 — our 10% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lazio EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Torino EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -16%
1.61/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.26
-1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
19.8 Crosses 15.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lazio
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Torino
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.91 xG 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
383 Passes 429
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Torino Torino 2-3 HT 0-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
22.02.2024 Torino Torino 0-2 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
27.09.2023 Lazio Lazio 2-0 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
22.04.2023 Lazio Lazio 0-1 HT 0-1 Torino Torino İTA
20.08.2022 Torino Torino 0-0 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
16.04.2022 Lazio Lazio 1-1 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lazio
1-1
AWAY Torino
1.20 xG 0.40
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
408 Passes 265
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lazio vs Torino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio and Torino shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lazio at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lazio had 59% of the ball to Torino's 41%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.20 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lazio and 0.67 for Torino.

What was the final score of Lazio vs Torino?

Lazio 1-1 Torino in the Italy - Serie A on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lazio vs Torino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lazio 46%, draw 25%, Torino 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lazio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lazio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
31 Mar 2025
19:30 Hellas Verona vs Parma Analysis →