Portland Timbers 3-1 Houston Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 31 Mar 2025

📅31/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.95
6+ Goals
9%
9.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.99
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
15%
5.28
X/2
9%
7.0
X/X
17%
5.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.3
2/2
13%
4.65
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.3 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +9%
1.58/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.52
+20% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.2 Crosses 15.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Timbers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Houston Dynamo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.27 xG 1.39
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
313 Passes 420
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.06.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-2 HT 1-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
17.03.2024 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 1-0 HT 1-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
22.10.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-3 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
21.08.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 5-0 HT 4-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
30.06.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-1 HT 2-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
17.04.2022 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Timbers
3-1
AWAY Houston Dynamo
2.56 xG 0.59
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 8
354 Passes 534
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
28 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Timbers got the better of Houston Dynamo 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Portland Timbers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Portland Timbers had 40% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 60%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.56 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Portland Timbers and 2.00 for Houston Dynamo.

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo?

Portland Timbers 3-1 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 42%, draw 29%, Houston Dynamo 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portland Timbers), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portland Timbers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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