Portland Timbers 2-2 Houston Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
8.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.84
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.1
X/1
14%
5.06
X/2
10%
7.14
X/X
12%
5.08
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.15
2/2
10%
4.63
2/X
8%
12.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.58/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.46
+12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
19.8 Crosses 14.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Timbers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Houston Dynamo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.28 xG 1.39
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
316 Passes 405
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 1-0 HT 1-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
22.10.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-3 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
21.08.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 5-0 HT 4-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
30.06.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-1 HT 2-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
17.04.2022 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
04.09.2021 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-2 HT 0-2 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Timbers
2-2
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.71 xG 1.02
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
324 Passes 408
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Portland Timbers at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Portland Timbers had 45% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 55%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.71 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Portland Timbers and 1.67 for Houston Dynamo.

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo?

Portland Timbers 2-2 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 45%, draw 27%, Houston Dynamo 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portland Timbers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portland Timbers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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