Aurora 5-1 Oriente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 31 Mar 2025

Aurora
5-1 HT 3-1
Oriente Petrolero
📅31/03/2025 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2025

Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-6.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aurora v Oriente Petrolero — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 18%
-12% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
1.69/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.43
+6% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 72%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
25.7 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1

Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.01 xG 1.13
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
257 Passes 257
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.09.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 5-0 HT 3-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
13.05.2024 Aurora Aurora 3-1 HT 3-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
13.11.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-0 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
15.05.2023 Aurora Aurora 2-2 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
21.04.2022 Aurora Aurora 1-1 HT 0-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
12.02.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ

Aurora 5-1 Oriente Petrolero — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
5-1
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
2.47 xG 0.76
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
234 Passes 284
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 29
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora ran out comfortable winners over Oriente Petrolero 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Aurora had 46% of the ball to Oriente Petrolero's 54%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.47 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oriente Petrolero led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aurora and 2.00 for Oriente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero?

Aurora 5-1 Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Aurora 58%, draw 23%, Oriente Petrolero 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BOLİ More Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme
31 Mar 2025
02:30 Blooming vs The Strongest Analysis →