Nottingham Forest U21 2-3 Newcastle United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 31 Mar 2025

📅31/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.43
No
50%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
66%
-15.6pp
50%
BTTS No
34%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 33%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-100% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses 14.0
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Newcastle United U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.02.2024 Nottingham Forest U21 Nottingham Forest U21 1-2 HT 1-0 Newcastle United U21 Newcastle United U21 İNPLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest U21
2-3
AWAY Newcastle United U21
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
322 Passes 378
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest U21 vs Newcastle United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United U21 edged past Nottingham Forest U21 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nottingham Forest U21 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nottingham Forest U21 had 47% of the ball to Newcastle United U21's 53%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Nottingham Forest U21 2-3 Newcastle United U21 in the INGPL2 on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest U21 43%, draw 28%, Newcastle United U21 29%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nottingham Forest U21)
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