Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hamrun Spartans v Naxxar Lions — Team-Based Signals
Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-2
Hamrun Spartans
MLTP
Hamrun Spartans 4-0 Naxxar Lions — Actual Match Statistics
Hamrun Spartans swept aside Naxxar Lions 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 54% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 46%, shots finished 7-2.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 4.67 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 0.33 for Naxxar Lions.
What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions?
Hamrun Spartans 4-0 Naxxar Lions in the MALTP on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 53%, draw 26%, Naxxar Lions 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.