Leon vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Leon v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Pumas UNAM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Leon 1-2 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Leon 2-1 on their travels. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Leon at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
On the day, Pumas UNAM saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 2.07 to 1.05 — the balance of chances actually favoured Leon.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Leon against 2.50 for Pumas UNAM.
Leon vs Pumas UNAM Result & Final Score
Leon 1 - 2 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Leon vs Pumas UNAM Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Leon 45%, draw 27%, Pumas UNAM 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leon), Under 2.5 went the other way.