Leon vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leon v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Pumas UNAM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Pumas UNAM
MEK
4-1
HT 2-1
Leon
MEK
3-3
HT 0-2
Pumas UNAM
MEK
2-1
HT 2-1
Leon
MEK
Leon 1-2 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM nicked a narrow win over Leon 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Leon at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Leon had 49% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 51%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 2.07 to 1.05 — the balance of chances actually favoured Leon.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leon and 2.50 for Pumas UNAM.
What was the final score of Leon vs Pumas UNAM?
Leon 1-2 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leon vs Pumas UNAM?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Leon 46%, draw 24%, Pumas UNAM 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.