Santos Laguna 2-3 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 31 Mar 2025

📅31/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.3pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.45/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.50
-1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
18.5 Crosses 18.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.30 xG 1.44
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
324 Passes 357
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-1 HT 0-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
29.04.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
12.11.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-2 HT 0-2 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
19.02.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-1 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
29.08.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 4-1 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
02.05.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-3 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
2-3
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.41 xG 1.70
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
272 Passes 438
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis edged past Santos Laguna 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Santos Laguna at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 41% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 59%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.41 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos Laguna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Santos Laguna and 1.50 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Atletico San Luis?

Santos Laguna 2-3 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos Laguna win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 42%, draw 28%, Atletico San Luis 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Santos Laguna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santos Laguna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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