Atletico San Luis 3-1 Santos Laguna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.64
2-3 Goals
43%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
9%
8.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -16%
1.63/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.90
+47% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 77%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
14.3 Crosses 13.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Santos Laguna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.21 xG 1.53
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
315 Passes 322
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
12.11.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-2 HT 0-2 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
19.02.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-1 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
29.08.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 4-1 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
02.05.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-3 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
21.11.2021 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
3-1
AWAY Santos Laguna
1.59 xG 1.08
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
445 Passes 308
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 6
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis beat Santos Laguna 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico San Luis as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 58% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 42%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.59 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos Laguna led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico San Luis and 2.00 for Santos Laguna.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?

Atletico San Luis 3-1 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico San Luis win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 53%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico San Luis), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico San Luis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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