Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 31 Mar 2025

Zaglebie Lubin
0-2 HT 0-0
Rakow Czestochowa
📅31/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Zaglebie Lubin vs Rakow Czestochowa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 32% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.73
1/2
9%
27.0
1/X
5%
15.3
X/1
5%
8.17
X/2
18%
4.4
X/X
18%
4.37
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
21%
2.6
2/X
5%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zaglebie Lubin v Rakow Czestochowa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 53%
-12% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.38/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.90
-32% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
22.1 Crosses 20.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Zaglebie Lubin vs Rakow Czestochowa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.07 xG 2.11
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
266 Passes 374
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 5-1 HT 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
04.05.2024 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 HT 1-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
05.11.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 5-0 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
27.05.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
12.11.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 HT 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
14.05.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL

Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
0-2
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.65 xG 1.53
18% Ball Possession 82%
9 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 12
74 Passes 497
58% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 35
7 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa beat Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rakow Czestochowa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin had 18% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 82%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 0.65 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zaglebie Lubin and 2.17 for Rakow Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin 24%, draw 28%, Rakow Czestochowa 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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