Metropolitanos 2-2 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 31 Mar 2025

📅31/03/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.18/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.33
-5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
21.2 Crosses 19.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Monagas
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.65 xG 1.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
264 Passes 269
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.07.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-2 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
04.02.2024 Monagas Monagas 2-4 HT 0-3 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
09.07.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 3-2 HT 0-2 Monagas Monagas VEN
08.05.2023 Monagas Monagas 0-2 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
31.10.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
23.10.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-2 HT 0-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
2-2
AWAY Monagas
1.61 xG 1.02
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
249 Passes 165
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 14
33 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos and Monagas shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 60% of the ball to Monagas's 40%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.61 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.50 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Monagas?

Metropolitanos 2-2 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 38%, draw 31%, Monagas 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Metropolitanos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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