Portuguesa FC 1-3 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 31 Mar 2025

📅31/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.1pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.29/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.31
-10% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
22.3 Crosses 17.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portuguesa FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.85 xG 0.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
250 Passes 274
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
07.04.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 HT 0-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
27.08.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-2 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
11.03.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
12.06.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 1-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
03.06.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
1-3
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.60 xG 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
320 Passes 198
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira beat Portuguesa FC 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Deportivo La Guaira made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 60% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 40%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.60 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portuguesa FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Portuguesa FC and 0.83 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Portuguesa FC 1-3 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 34%, draw 28%, Deportivo La Guaira 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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