Portuguesa FC 2-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +17%
1.08/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.55
-14% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
22.3 Crosses 18.3
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portuguesa FC
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
2.23 xG 0.98
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
272 Passes 282
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 HT 0-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
27.08.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-2 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
11.03.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
12.06.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 1-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
03.06.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
2-1
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.09 xG 0.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
206 Passes 259
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 7
10 Crosses 33
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa FC edged past Deportivo La Guaira 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo La Guaira at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 44% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 56%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.09 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Portuguesa FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Portuguesa FC and 0.80 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Portuguesa FC 2-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 30%, draw 27%, Deportivo La Guaira 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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