Rayo Zuliano 2-1 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
1.71/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.65
+18% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +74%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
18.4 Crosses 20.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Zuliano
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Carabobo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.54 xG 1.01
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
185 Passes 402
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 20
5 Crosses 22
6 Yellow Cards 4
07.04.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 2-2 HT 2-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
29.07.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
16.04.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Zuliano
2-1
AWAY Carabobo
1.07 xG 0.52
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
322 Passes 231
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Zuliano nicked a narrow win over Carabobo 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Rayo Zuliano made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Zuliano had 56% of the ball to Carabobo's 44%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.07 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rayo Zuliano and 0.67 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo?

Rayo Zuliano 2-1 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rayo Zuliano 31%, draw 29%, Carabobo 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carabobo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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