Angostura FC 0-2 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -21%
0.88/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.26
-19% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
251 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
17.4 Crosses 25.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angostura FC
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Monagas
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.36 xG 1.90
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 Passes 324
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.07.2024 Angostura FC Angostura FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Monagas Monagas VENK
08.04.2024 Monagas Monagas 4-2 HT 2-0 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
16.09.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
25.02.2023 Monagas Monagas 1-0 HT 0-0 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angostura FC
0-2
AWAY Monagas
0.81 xG 0.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
335 Passes 296
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
5 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Angostura FC vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas saw off Angostura FC 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Monagas found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Angostura FC had 54% of the ball to Monagas's 46%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.81 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Monagas led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Angostura FC and 1.75 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Angostura FC vs Monagas?

Angostura FC 0-2 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angostura FC vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Angostura FC 34%, draw 28%, Monagas 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monagas), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monagas) ✓ Under 2.5
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