İsveç vs Polonya Prediction — Model Probabilities
İsveç v Polonya — Team-Based Signals
İsveç vs Polonya Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
İsveç 3-2 Polonya — Actual Match Statistics
İsveç nicked a narrow win over Polonya 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had İsveç as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring.
By the numbers, İsveç had 33% of the ball to Polonya's 67%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.67 to 1.53.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, İsveç had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for İsveç and 1.67 for Polonya.
İsveç vs Polonya Result & Final Score
İsveç 3 - 2 Polonya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 31/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
İsveç vs Polonya Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a İsveç win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split İsveç 46%, draw 27%, Polonya 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İsveç), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.