İsveç vs Polonya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
İsveç v Polonya — Team-Based Signals
İsveç vs Polonya Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
İsveç
DKE
3-2
HT 1-0
Polonya
AVR
3-1
HT 1-0
Polonya
HAZ
İsveç 3-2 Polonya — Actual Match Statistics
İsveç nicked a narrow win over Polonya 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had İsveç as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, İsveç had 33% of the ball to Polonya's 67%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.67 to 1.53.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, İsveç had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for İsveç and 1.67 for Polonya.
What was the final score of İsveç vs Polonya?
İsveç 3-2 Polonya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 31/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for İsveç vs Polonya?
Before kick-off our model rated a İsveç win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split İsveç 45%, draw 24%, Polonya 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İsveç), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.