İsveç 3-2 Polonya — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — World Cup Qualifiers, 31 Mar 2026

📅31/03/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 21:47
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
52%
1.8
Over
48%
1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.87
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.85
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
21%
3.8
6+
5%
17.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.87
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
16%
4.68
X/2
10%
7.0
X/X
17%
4.36
2/1
3%
26.5
2/2
15%
5.36
2/X
5%
14.0
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME İsveç The Market 50%
Signal
AWAY Polonya The Market 31%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.62 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.18
1.10 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.46
Great Attack Strength Bad
Great Defense Strength Bad
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
412 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 83%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İsveç
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Polonya
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.19 xG 1.99
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 9
251 Passes 292
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2022 Polonya Polonya 2-0 HT 0-0 İsveç İsveç DKE
23.06.2021 İsveç İsveç 3-2 HT 1-0 Polonya Polonya AVR
05.06.2004 İsveç İsveç 3-1 HT 1-0 Polonya Polonya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İsveç
3 - 2
AWAY Polonya
1.67 xG 1.53
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
184 Passes 432
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW İsveç vs Polonya
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

İsveç nicked a narrow win over Polonya 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had İsveç as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring.

By the numbers, İsveç had 33% of the ball to Polonya's 67%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.67 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, İsveç had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for İsveç and 1.67 for Polonya.

İsveç vs Polonya Result & Final Score

İsveç 3 - 2 Polonya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 31/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

İsveç vs Polonya Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a İsveç win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split İsveç 46%, draw 27%, Polonya 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İsveç), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İsveç) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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