Kosova vs Türkiye Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kosova v Türkiye — Team-Based Signals
Kosova vs Türkiye Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-2
Türkiye
DKE
2-0
HT 0-0
Kosova
DKE
1-6
HT 1-2
Türkiye
HAZ
Kosova 0-1 Türkiye — Actual Match Statistics
Türkiye squeezed past Kosova 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Türkiye as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Kosova had 43% of the ball to Türkiye's 57%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.88 to 1.65.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Türkiye led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kosova and 4.00 for Türkiye.
What was the final score of Kosova vs Türkiye?
Kosova 0-1 Türkiye in the World Cup Qualifiers on 31/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kosova vs Türkiye?
Before kick-off our model rated an Türkiye win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kosova 29%, draw 23%, Türkiye 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Türkiye), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.