Kanada (K) 4-1 Haiti (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 May 2025

Kanada (K)
4-1 HT 2-0
Haiti (K)
📅31/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Kanada (K) vs Haiti (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.18
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
80%
-17.2pp
22%
Draw
13%
+8.4pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kanada (K) v Haiti (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanada (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Haiti (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.20/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.00
-12% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -53%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
33.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
26.1 Crosses –
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.0

Kanada (K) 4-1 Haiti (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanada (K)
4-1
AWAY Haiti (K)
1.91 xG 1.73
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
327 Passes 239
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
39 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH Kanada (K) vs Haiti (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada (K) swept aside Haiti (K) 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kanada (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kanada (K) had 56% of the ball to Haiti (K)'s 44%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 1.91 to 1.73.

What was the final score of Kanada (K) vs Haiti (K)?

Kanada (K) 4-1 Haiti (K) in the Friendlies on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanada (K) vs Haiti (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kanada (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Kanada (K) 63%, draw 22%, Haiti (K) 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kanada (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kanada (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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